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Thursday, 9 April 2015

Valuing the Environment

RMIT School of Global, Urban and Social Sciences

Environmental Economics

Lecture 31 March 2015


The bush saved by the Warkworth decision


The different aspects of reality

Let us imagine we have with us in the lecture theatre a tree. Let’s make it a special tree.

Perhaps the rarest eucalypt is Eucalyptus recurva - discovered in the 1980s and also known as the Ice Age Gum or the Mongarlowe Mallee. It is a mallee, with many stems sprouting from a single lignotuber (underground root ball). The species is known from only four sites on the southern tablelands of NSW - three of the sites having just a single individual, and the other having two. Some of these five individuals are genetically identical.

The oldest of these plants, near Windellama, south east of Goulburn, is considered to be 13,000 years old and a relic of the ice age. It is probably the oldest plant on Earth.

Because of the plant's extreme rarity, the exact locations of each known specimen is a closely guarded secret - although all are on private property.

There are different ways of appreciating this tree. A physicist might be able to tell us (although it would be hard) all the atoms and compounds which make up this tree. A logger might be able to estimate the precise wood volume it would yield, and an economist the value of that timber. A poet or artist might see in the tree inspiration for art works. A botanist will be able to tell us some of the things I’ve already mentioned – the species of the tree, and what is unique about it. A zoologist to tell us what animals shelter in the tree, and perhaps something of the relationship between animal life and the tree. The tree might be a special meeting place – with a particular social importance. It might have legal significance, and a lawyer can tell you what the rules are that protect it. Or it might be in a water catchment, and have an important role in the production of clean water – something the hydrologist can tell us about.

Each of these perspectives is valid, but the reality of the tree cannot be reduced to any one of them.

If we try to reduce reality to one of its aspects, we lose a great deal. So a Freudian will have a particular take on human relationships, but it would be a distortion to think this is all there is. A behaviourist – same thing. A Marxist will see things in terms of the relationship between the factors of production and the production process, and this is a valuable insight – but it is only one aspect of reality.

Barry Lopez, the great nature writer, wrote this about our appreciation of land:

Whatever evaluation we finally make of a stretch of land, however, no matter how profound or accurate, we will find it inadequate. The land retains an identity of its own, still deeper and more subtle than we can know. Our obligation toward it then becomes simple: to approach with an uncalculating mind, with an attitude of regard. To try to sense the range and variety of its expression— its weather and colors and animals. To intend from the beginning to preserve some of the mystery within it as a kind of wisdom to be experienced, not questioned. And to be alert for its openings, for that moment when something sacred reveals itself within the mundane, and you know the land knows you are there.
            - Barry Lopez Arctic Dreams

Today we see the economic aspect of life dominant in discourse. The slightest change in economic indicators – the sharemarket index, the unemployment level, the inflation rate, the value of the dollar – will be news.

According to the Australian Accounting Standards ‘fair value’ is:
9.    … the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date.

But how do we value our tree under that standard, when it is not allowed to be bought or sold?

Let’s focus this further. According to the Wildlife Act 1975 (Vic):

45 Acquiring etc. threatened wildlife
(1) A person must not buy, sell, acquire, receive, dispose of, keep, possess, control, breed, process, display, take samples from or experiment on threatened wildlife.

Penalty: 240 penalty units or 24 months imprisonment or both the fine and imprisonment and an additional penalty of 20 penalty units for every head of wildlife in respect of which an offence has been committed.

Since it is an offence to buy or sell threatened wildlife, it must follow that the price for such wildlife in the fair market would be nil.

Therefore, according to Australian accounting standards, protected wildlife has no value at all.

Yet many people in the community would regard it as having a value.

We are here meeting two different ways of viewing the value of something in the world. How is that paradigm divide to be bridged?

The Courts

We have a Westminster system of government in Australia. Under this system, government is divided into three arms – parliament, executive and judiciary.

The judicial arm of the government comprises the courts.

Under the doctrine of separation of powers, the three powers are the legislative power to make laws; the executive power to carry out and enforce the laws; and the judicial power to interpret laws and to judge whether they apply in individual cases.

In the paper included in the course work, I have included a number of case studies of the judicial process being used to silence community groups.

There are also examples of the courts being used to make important advances in the law.

Mabo

In 1992 the High Court delivered judgment in the Mabo case. This was a landmark decision which recognized native title. The court found, contrary to previous decisions of lower courts, that native title existed, and was based on the traditional connection to or occupation of the land, and rejected the doctrine of terra nullius, which had fantasized that Australia was empty and unoccupied when Europeans arrived and established settlement here.

Once this decision was made, parliamentary legislation to deal with the uncertainties which then arose was necessary – but the courts took the lead.

In 1996, the High Court extended the Mabo doctrine when it delivered the Wik decision, which held that the grant of a pastoral lease did not confer rights of exclusive possession, and would not necessarily extinguish native title.

This prompted the Howard government to introduce legislation which significantly wound back native title.


IN 2010 Warkworth Mining Limited – a subsidiary of Rio Tinto – sought to extend its mining operations near Bulga in the Hunter Valley. The proposal involved clearing 766 hectares of endangered ecological communities, remove an entire ridge, and undertake extensive open cut coal mining, which was to continue to 2031.

The NSW Minister approved the application on 3 February 2012.

The local residents then appealed to the Land and Environment Court.

The appeal raised questions of biological diversity, of noise and dust, and social impacts. Against this, Warkworth argued that huge economic benefits would flow if the mine proceeded.

So far, this is a familiar scenario – two different types of argument, in different spheres, never quite meeting each other.

The economic benefits of the extension as projected in the Rio Tinto’s two economic assessments were huge: an input-output analysis (I-O analysis) put the figure at an additional $16.8 billion in output and 44,675 jobs in the Hunter Region (where jobs are defined as lasting for one year full-time) as compared to the base case.

A cost benefit analysis (CBA) concluded that the total net production benefit would be in the order of $1.97 billion, with Warkworth, its shareholders and the NSW and Commonwealth governments standing to benefit the most.

This kind of analysis had never been questioned by environmentalists in a case like this. The argument had been that the other losses were worth more.

At this point the opponents changed the game. They called economist Richard Denniss, the executive director of the Australia Institute, who pulled apart Warkworth’s analysis.

In the end the NSWLEC, relying on the expert evidence from Richard Denniss, determined that neither the I-O analysis nor the CBA adequately considered the principles of ecologically sustainable development, and severely criticised both economic models on their methodologies. Preston CJ concluded that both models were, at best, only a means of bringing to attention some of the relevant environmental, social and economic matters a decision-maker must consider when determining whether or not a project should be approved.

He rejected the application to extend the mine. The NSW government and Rio Tinto appealed to the Court of Appeal in NSW. That appeal was dismissed. The mine will not go ahead.

The NSW government responded to the Warkworth decision by amending the State Environment Planning Policy 2007 (SEPP) such that economic benefits – employment generation, expenditure, and royalties – must now be the principal consideration where mining developments are concerned.

But even this would not have saved the Warkworth mine – Rio Tinto had no credible evidence of the economic benefits they trumpeted.

Should we value the other factors?

Some groups have spent significant sums trying to place a dollar value on the loss of amenity and loss of biodiversity from developments of this kind.

While this can help insert the environment into the discourse of economics, and for that reason can make an economically-focused polity take notice, this is a dangerous course because it condemns us to argue only in dollar terms – when often we really want to uphold some values which are not readily measured in money.

So for example, the ACF have embarked on large projects to place an economic value on some natural assets – such as the Hattah Lakes, forests, and the like.

If we carry out this sort of study, the figures may or may not provide a greater money value to the protected asset than for any proposed development using that asset. If we are to use the higher value to argue that a development should not go ahead, are we not also conceding that if there is a lower money value for the national park or forest or alpine meadow left as it is than for any given development, then the option with the greatest money value wins.

I would still like to protect our natural environment, even in the face of arguments that we could make more money destroying it.

Also, there are many in the community who simply will not believe the figures that we come up with for the value of these things in money terms – for their value is essentially not something reducible to mere finance.

How do we put a figure on love? On justice? On peace? On human rights? Any attempt to do so will be very flawed, and yet we all believe these things are valuable – even though war can generate economic activity, injustice and exploitation in violation of human rights can bring great profit, and most would give a great deal of money not to have Gina Rinehart’s family misery.

Courts often have real difficulty dealing with environmental issues, largely because there is no party to the proceedings who can advocate the interests of the Earth.

Should nature have its own legal rights?

If we only value things that can be exchanged for money, we will fail to value many things which are of importance.

If the only measure of global good is the rights and welfare of our species, we have an inadequate standard. The countervailing considerations of prosperity from selling coal or from felling trees or from releasing dangerous chemicals may be all too readily utilized against the benefit of the Earth. Human wellbeing will have short term and long term perspectives. How do we decide which is more important? We can call for intergenerational equity – not leaving a mess for our children and grandchildren – but when they are not yet able to actively advocate their interests, this may not be sufficient when realpolitik interposes.

Today I believe it has become essential that our human rights discourse be informed by recognition of the rights of the Earth itself.

In fact, many countries[1] have begun to institute laws that give fundamental protection to the environment.

France has a Charter for the Environment, which was incorporated in the constitution in 2005. It is a significant document. Article 1 reads:

Art 1 – Each person has the right to live in a balanced environment which shows due respect for health.

It is still focused on the rights of humans, but it contains strong provisions of a kind we do not enjoy in Australia.

But Ecuador – a comparatively small Latin American country only slightly larger than Victoria and with a population of 15 million – has altered the entire international debate. In 2008 the people of Ecuador by an overwhelming 63% majority, voted for a new constitution - the first in the world to comprehensively recognise ecosystem rights and nature rights:

Nature or Pachamama, where life is reproduced and exists, has the right to exist, persist, maintain and regenerate its vital cycles, structure, functions and its processes in evolution. 
Every person, people, community or nationality, will be able to demand the recognitions of rights for nature before the public organisms.

Much of the motivation for this came from widespread outrage at Chevron dumping millions of tonnes of toxic waste into the Amazon as part of its mining operations. In Spanish the new document is called la ley de los derechos de Madre Tierra – the law of the rights of mother earth[2]. It refers to “Pachamama” the indigenous Earth mother figure.

Key thinking for this new constitution was done by the local indigenous community and NGOs. The process was remarkably rapid – from beginning work on this constitution to its passage took about 18 months.

Chevron reacted strongly. Its lobbyist told Newsweek:

The ultimate issue here is Ecuador has mistreated a U.S. company. We can't let little countries screw around with big companies like this - companies that have made big investments around the world.

It did not end there. Neighbouring Bolivia’s first indigenous president, Evo Morales, announced his country would follow suit with “The Law of Mother Earth” based on the indigenous belief that all the inhabitants of nature are created equal. As President Morales put it:

Either capitalism dies, or Mother Earth dies. We choose Pachamama,or death.

Bolivia’s Law of Mother Earth was passed on 22 April 2011. Other nations, such as Nepal, have expressed interest in following suit.

The law in Australia has frequently failed the environment. I think some bold vision is necessary. Legal recognition of the rights of Mother Earth would be a great step forward.

Our tree can be appreciated in different ways from the perspective of different disciplines. And so if we are to protect the environment we must draw on all the different aspects of human civilization – amongst other things, philosophy, art, science, religion, architecture, economics and the law. It is for us, as humans who build our civilization, to ensure that each aspect values the things which we consider important.







[1] eg S 24 of the Constitution of South Africa (a right to have the environment protected), Article 24 of the Basic Law (ie the Constitution) of Germany (guarantee to the rights of animals), and UNESCO’s Earth Charter
[2] The relevant provisions are as follows:
Rights for Nature
Art. 1. Nature or Pachamama, where life is reproduced and exists, has the right to exist, persist, maintain and regenerate its vital cycles, structure, functions and its processes in evolution.
Every person, people, community or nationality, will be able to demand the recognitions of rights for nature before the public organisms. The application and interpretation of these rights will follow the related principles established in the Constitution.
The State will motivate natural and juridical persons as well as collectives to protect nature; it will promote respect towards all the elements that form an ecosystem.
Art. 2. Nature has the right to an integral restoration. This integral restoration is independent of the obligation on natural and juridical persons or the State to indemnify the people and the collectives that depend on the natural systems.
In the cases of severe or permanent environmental impact, including the ones caused by the exploitation on non renewable natural resources, the State will establish the most efficient mechanisms for the restoration, and will adopt the adequate measures to eliminate or mitigate the harmful environmental consequences.
Art. 3.  The State will apply precaution and restriction measures in all the activities that can lead to the extinction of species, the destruction of the ecosystems or the permanent alteration of the natural cycles.
The introduction of organisms and organic and inorganic material that can alter in a definitive way the national genetic patrimony is prohibited.
Art. 4.  The persons, people, communities and nationalities will have the right to benefit from the environment and form natural wealth that will allow well-being.
The environmental services cannot be appropriated; its production, provision, use and exploitation, will be regulated by the State.

Monday, 9 March 2015

Anschluss

In 1938, threatened with a Nazi takeover, and without international support, Austrian chancellor Kurt von Schuschnigg called for a national plebiscite on the nation’s future. It was to be held on Sunday 13 March. He expected a vote to keep Austria independent, and there can be little doubt he would have received overwhelming support.


Kurt von Schuschnigg, Chancellor of Austria

Hitler learned of the proposal on Wednesday 9 March – just four days before the plebiscite. He was furious about this ‘dirty trick’. The last thing he wanted was a popular expression of support for Austrian independence. He summoned his advisers (many of whom were out of the country). He sent a message to Mussolini asking for his support. Despite the lack of any plan of attack, Hitler sent tanks and troops rolling towards the border.

Before dawn, on Friday 11 March, the Germans closed the border with Austria.

Hitler delivered an ultimatum: postpone the plebiscite for three weeks, or the Wehrmacht will invade. Early that afternoon, the Austrians agreed. Then the Germans sent a further ultimatum demanding the resignation of Schuschnigg and his entire government, and the appointment of Dr Arthur Seyss-Inquart (the Nazi leader in Austria) as Federal Chancellor, otherwise the German Wehrmacht would march in that very evening.

Shortly after four in the afternoon, the Austrian government resigned.


Dr Arthur Seyss-Inquart

But President Miklas did not wish to appoint a Nazi as Chancellor. Göring bellowed at Seyss-Inquart over the telephone to go with the German military attaché and threaten Miklas with immediate invasion by the troops massing along the Austrian border.

The German radio delivered a stream of hysterical propaganda. There had been a bloody communist revolt, the reports asserted, which the Austrian government was powerless to control. There were hundreds of casualties. In reality, everything was calm except for Nazis beginning to show themselves on the streets.

At about eight that evening, from the room where Dollfuss had bled to death, Schuschnigg broadcast to the nation:
The German government today handed to President Miklas an ultimatum with a time limit attached, ordering him to nominate as Chancellor a person to be designated by the German government and to appoint members of a cabinet on the orders of the German government; otherwise German troops would invade Austria. I declare before the world that the reports issued about Austria concerning disorders created by the workers and the shedding of streams of blood, and the allegations that the situation has got out of control of the government were lies from A to Z. President Miklas asks me to tell the people of Austria that we have yielded to force.

Shortly before midnight, President Miklas appointed Seyss-Inquart chancellor.


President Miklas

 Göring now told Seyss-Inquart to request the assistance of German troops to restore order in Austria. Seyss-Inquart, still not aware of the part he was required to play, protested: ‘Well, that’s one thing I need not do because everything is quiet here in Austria, so far.’

The Germans ignored him, announcing that he had invited German troops to enter the country.

At dawn on 12 March 1938, at many points along the frontier, German troops crossed into Austria.


Austrian officials raise barriers to let German troops cross the frontier

Soldiers drove past cheering crowds throwing out Nazi salutes.


German troops march into Austria

That day Hitler drove across the Austrian border to his home town, Linz. In Vienna, the SS arrested Schuschnigg – he was not freed for more than seven years, by which time many proud European cities were smoking ruins. He was fortunate to survive.

Seyss-Inquart was chancellor of Austria for less than two days. The new Austrian government passed a law that made Austria ‘a province of the German Reich’. On Monday 14 March, Hitler made his triumphant entry into Vienna. The Anschluss ('union') was complete.


Hitler's entry into Vienna - 14 March 1938

Even as the celebrations took place, the new regime began its mass arrests, and the former Austrian Minister for War was assassinated.





Thursday, 5 March 2015

Reoccupation of the Rhineland

On the morning of 7 March 1936, Hitler’s foreign minister, Konstantin von Neurath, convened a meeting of the French, British, Italian and Belgian ambassadors. He proposed a twenty-five-year non-aggression pact, including demilitarisation on both banks of the Rhine and limitations on air forces of all parties.

At noon that day, Hitler announced that Germany would reoccupy the Rhineland – the area west of the Rhine and bordering France and the low countries which had been demilitarised since the Versailles Treaty. By then, German columns were already streaming across the border of the zone. Hitler bamboozled the western leaders by announcing that the occupation was purely symbolic.


German troops march into the Rhineland

Hitler’s generals knew Germany was not ready for military confrontation with the major powers. Had there been the slightest show of force from Britain or France, they would have forced Hitler to withdraw. In the end, apart from solemn hand wringing and protests from the Western Powers, nothing was done.

Hitler commenced fortifying this area, leaving him free to pursue other adventures to the east – and providing him a focal point for attack more than 150 kilometres closer to Paris. It was from the Rhineland that the German attack on France would develop most powerfully in 1940.


Hitler had shown that the western powers would not stand against determined action. He greatly enhanced his prestige and that of the Nazi regime. To the world he proclaimed: ‘All Germany’s territorial ambitions have now been satisfied.’